Adaptive truncation of infinite sums

applications to statistics

Autores

  • Wellington J. Silva Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
  • Luiz M. Carvalho Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
  • Guido A. Moreira Bavarian Nordic

Palavras-chave:

Infinite series, Bayesian inference, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, Adaptive algorithms, Error-bounding

Resumo

It is often the case in Statistics that one needs to compute sums of infinite series, especially in marginalising over discrete latent variables. This has become more relevant with the popularization of gradient-based techniques (e.g. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo) in the Bayesian inference context, for which discrete latent variables are hard or impossible to deal with. For many major infinite series, custom algorithms have been developed which exploit specific features of each problem. In contrast, here we employ basic results from the theory of infinite series to investigate general, problem-agnostic algorithms to approximate (truncate) infinite sums within an arbitrary tolerance ε > 0 and provide robust computational implementations with provable guarantees.

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Referências

A. Benson and N. Friel. “Bayesian Inference, Model Selection and Likelihood Estimation using Fast Rejection Sampling: The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson Distribution”. In: Bayesian Analysis (2021).

B. Braden. “Calculating sums of infinite series”. In: The American mathematical monthly 99.7 (1992), pp. 649–655.

R.W. Conway and W. L. Maxwell. “A queuing model with state dependent service rates”. In: Journal of Industrial Engineering 12.2 (1962), pp. 132–136.

P. Alquierand N. Friel, R. Everitt, and A. Boland. “Noisy Monte Carlo: Convergence of Markov chains with approximate transition kernels”. In: Statistics and Computing 26.1-2 (2016), pp. 29–47.

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Publicado

2025-01-20

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